Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.130903 0.154086 0.180007 0.211114 0.247411 0.288408 0.338212
2025-11-02 0.093075 0.121913 0.157572 0.204821 0.265699 0.341421 0.442692
2025-11-09 0.070216 0.099658 0.138913 0.194910 0.272561 0.376258 0.525080
2025-11-16 0.057883 0.087759 0.130133 0.194337 0.288855 0.422557 0.625693
2025-11-23 0.047626 0.076520 0.119783 0.188881 0.296041 0.455388 0.709726
2025-11-30 0.041864 0.070823 0.116318 0.192453 0.316076 0.508162 0.828311
2025-12-07 0.036517 0.064793 0.111228 0.192345 0.329727 0.551946 0.937241
2025-12-14 0.031354 0.058185 0.104122 0.187663 0.334837 0.581986 1.026557
2025-12-21 0.027730 0.053661 0.099814 0.186949 0.346168 0.622983 1.138119
2025-12-28 0.025722 0.051749 0.099767 0.193619 0.370993 0.689380 1.300670
2026-01-04 0.024183 0.050476 0.100661 0.202004 0.399713 0.765407 1.488385
2026-01-11 0.022400 0.048448 0.099821 0.206879 0.422211 0.832132 1.665608
2026-01-18 0.020123 0.045249 0.096612 0.207382 0.437703 0.890079 1.838285
2026-01-25 0.017474 0.040877 0.090486 0.201256 0.439433 0.922215 1.965618
2026-02-01 0.014910 0.036262 0.083165 0.191518 0.432270 0.935505 2.056050
2026-02-08 0.013426 0.033862 0.080275 0.190956 0.444504 0.989848 2.238235
2026-02-15 0.011798 0.030849 0.075564 0.185592 0.445344 1.019950 2.371569
2026-02-22 0.010947 0.029600 0.074743 0.189104 0.466718 1.096999 2.617272
2026-03-01 0.009973 0.027879 0.072545 0.188998 0.479563 1.156328 2.829496
2026-03-08 0.008872 0.025638 0.068744 0.184395 0.480955 1.189441 2.984421
2026-03-15 0.008092 0.024138 0.066605 0.183693 0.491857 1.246051 3.201752
2026-03-22 0.007718 0.023719 0.067219 0.190250 0.521988 1.352282 3.552230
2026-03-29 0.007438 0.023522 0.068404 0.198494 0.557538 1.475743 3.959495